Dodo bird verdict
Also known as Dodo bird conjecture, Dodo bird hypothesis
The debated claim that all genuine psychotherapies work about equally well.
At a glance
The case for
Few differences in head-to-head trials, Small treatment differences, Techniques as vehicles
See all 3Examples from the debate
The original race, What the shared factors are, One study tipping the balance …
See all 7The case against
Anxiety disorders, Some treatments harm, Flawed meta-analyses
See all 3Why it matters
Policy and training
Connections
Bruce Wampold, Cognitive behavioral therapy and 4 others
See all 6
Also on this page: Key facts · Links · Sources · Related pages
- The Dodo bird verdict claims that bona fide therapies produce roughly equal outcomes.
- Its name comes from Alice in Wonderland: "Everybody has won and all must have prizes." Supporters see it as evidence that shared factors drive change.
- Critics point to disorders where some treatments clearly do better, especially anxiety.
- The debate is unresolved.
Why it matters
- Before trusting any claim that one therapy beats another, it helps to know how often such claims hold up.
Key facts
- In short
- All empirically validated therapies give equivalent outcomes, whatever their specific components1
- Started
- Named by Saul Rosenzweig in 19361
- Key study
- Luborsky, Singer and Luborsky (1975) found few outcome differences between therapies1
- Against it
- CBT shows larger effects for anxiety disorders, e.g. 0.51 for generalized anxiety and 0.62 for social anxiety1
- Status
- Unresolved; both sides find weaknesses in the other's evidence1
The case for
-
Few differences in head-to-head trials1
Since Luborsky's 1975 review, many comparisons of bona fide therapies find small or no differences.
-
Small treatment differences2
Where differences exist they are at most about Cohen's d = 0.20, far smaller than the effects of alliance or empathy.
-
Techniques as vehicles1
Wampold and colleagues (2009) argued that techniques matter mainly as ways of activating common factors.
Examples from the debate
-
The original race1
In Alice in Wonderland the wet characters run round in a race to get dry; nobody measures how far or how long each ran, and the Dodo rules: "Everybody has won and all must have prizes."
-
What the shared factors are1
Supporters mean things like a relationship with a therapist who is warm, respectful and has high expectations for the client's success.
-
One study tipping the balance1
Wampold found that a CBT advantage over rational therapy for panic disorder rested on one study with an unusually large effect (1.02); without it, the difference was not significant.
-
Comparing like with like1
Crits-Christoph found that 79 of the 114 articles in a 1997 meta-analysis supporting the verdict involved similar comparisons, which can hide real differences.
-
Uneven contests1
Some trials compare a therapy against a waiting list or medication, or give one side's counsellors only a few days of workshops.
-
Treatments that can harm1
Negative responses have been reported in some substance-abuse work, some types of grief therapy and certain techniques with trauma patients.
-
What hangs on it1
If the verdict holds, clinicians could feel free to use any therapy they see fit; if not, they would likely have to use empirically supported ones.
The case against
-
Anxiety disorders1
The strongest counter-evidence: cognitive behavioral therapy shows larger effects than alternatives for several anxiety disorders.
-
Some treatments harm1
Lilienfeld (2007) and others note some therapies can harm, which "all are equal" cannot be true of.
-
Flawed meta-analyses1
Hunsley and Chambless argue the verdict rests on biased study selection and overgeneralizes from limited comparisons.
Why it matters
-
Policy and training1
The answer affects funding and whether clinicians must use specific empirically supported treatments; see Evidence-based practice in psychology.
Connections
Related
- Bruce WampoldPersonHis meta-analyses are central to the case for the verdict
- Cognitive behavioral therapyTopicIts larger effects for anxiety are the main evidence against the verdict
- Common factors theoryTopicRosenzweig's 1936 article introduced both ideas
- Evidence-based practice in psychologyTopicIf therapies are equal, mandating specific treatments matters less
- How important are the common factors in psychotherapy? An updatePaperFinds small differences between treatments
- The Great Psychotherapy Debate: The Evidence for What Makes Psychotherapy WorkBookChapter 5 defends the verdict that bona fide therapies do about equally well
Links
Sources
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